Ciudadanos se suicida al descartar un pacto con VOX

Ciudadanos se suicida al descartar un pacto con VOX


2811 EDITORIAL

Compiten por el mismo electorado. Comparten algunos principios y son muy diferentes en otros. Pero sus votantes provienen de idéntico lugar ideológico.

El centro-derecha, las clases medias trabajadoras y medias altas que creen en la unidad de España, en la democracia y en el Imperio de la ley, los que abominan de la izquierda radical por totalitaria y ven al PSOE como un partido corrupto y clientelar, tienen el próximo domingo tres opciones de voto en Andalucía: PP, Ciudadanos y Vox.


Vasos comunicantes

En términos politológicos, la teoría de vasos comunicantes se cumple a rajatabla en este caso. Los votos de unos saldrán de los de los otros, y lo que crezcan unos será a costa del decrecimiento del resto.

Tendrán que ponerse de acuerdo, como decíamos ayer, si quieren gobernar en Andalucía, si quieren desalojar al régimen de intereses creados que lleva 40 años en el poder.

Si la suma del centro y la derecha da 55 diputados, o sea, mayoría absoluta, forzosamente tendrían que sentarse a negociar. Sí o sí. Pero parece que Ciudadanos, o más en concreto, Juan Marín, no está por la labor.


No va a negociar

Hoy, el líder de la formación naranja y candidato a la presidencia de la Junta ha dicho que no va a negociar «con la extrema derecha de Vox».

Craso error. Primero porque hace suyo ese «cordón sanitario» que apuntó Manuel Valls en su protocandidatura para la alcaldía de Barcelona.

Segundo: porque al descartar un acuerdo con uno de los partidos con los que se supone que se podría poner de acuerdo, despeja la incógnita de a quiénes deben votar los que dudaban entre las tres opciones del centro-derecha.

Ahora, quien no sabía si votar a Ciudadanos, al PP o a Vox, sabe que si lo hace por los primeros, en ningún caso habrá mayoría de cambio en Andalucía.


Voto de castigo

El voto de castigo al PP por la corrupción le ha costado muy caro. Tanto, que a derecha e izquierda han surgido dos opciones políticas que hace menos de 5 años o bien eran residuales o bien ni siquiera existían.

El voto de castigo del votante tradicional del PP duda esta semana entre votar con la nariz tapada, entre votar centro, o entre votar al partido de moda, a la derecha de Vox.

Marín, en unas declaraciones de enorme torpeza política descarta pactar con quien se disputa el voto. Pero, en cambio, no descarta acuerdos puntuales con el PSOE con el que ha estado muy a gusto los últimos 3 años.


El mensaje de Marín

Es decir, el mensaje que le manda a sus votantes es que «si me votas a mí no habrá gobierno de centro derecha pero sí de centro izquierda». Lo dicho, no se puede ser más torpe.

Porque el trasvase de votos del PSOE a Ciudadanos es apenas inexistente.

Los vasos comunicantes, como decimos, están entre PP, Ciudadanos y Vox.

Y hoy, Juan Marín le acaba de regalar muchos votos a Santiago Abascal.

Le ha dejado campo abierto y probablemente posibilitará que su entrada, la entrada de Vox en el Parlamento andaluz que todas las encuestadoras dan ya como segura, sea algo más que testimonial.

Probablemente hoy Ciudadanos ha perdido la enorme oportunidad de crecer electoralmente si hubiera apostado por un cambio real en Andalucía.

No lo ha hecho, e insinúa un cambalache con los caciques que durante 40 años han hecho de aquella tierra un erial.

Hoy, probablemente no sea muy consciente, pero le ha regalado miles de votos a los que dice que no va a pactar con ellos.


Ciudadanos descarta pacto con Vox

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