VOX puede y debe entrar en el Parlamento

Desde hace unos meses, VOX aparece en las encuestas.



Hace un año atrás, la formación que dirige y preside Santiago Abascal apenas contaba en el plano político. Parafraseando al Jefe de la Casa del Rey en el Golpe de estado del 23F: “Ni estaba, ni se le esperaba”. Era impensable un escenario con VOX en el Parlamento.

Pero hete aquí que el 1 de octubre lo cambió todo. En todos los sentidos. La celebración del referéndum ilegal en Cataluña, calificado por casi todos los analistas políticos como “Golpe de Estado”, generó algo parecido a la Tercera Ley de Newton: “Cuando un cuerpo ejerce una fuerza sobre otro, este ejerce sobre el primero una fuerza igual y en sentido opuesto”.

O lo que comúnmente, en Ciencia Política conocemos como un fenómeno de acción-reacción, es decir, ante un desafío como el planteado por los independentistas, se generó en buena parte de España, un fenómeno espontáneo que fue conocido como “el movimiento de las banderas”.

Balcones rojigualdos

En no pocos balcones de España comenzaron a colgarse banderas nacionales, como contrapeso a lo que estaba pasando en Cataluña. Era la forma de decir: “no estoy de acuerdo con lo que está haciendo la Generalidad, soy español y quiero que Cataluña también lo siga siendo”.

Los datos más optimistas les dan hasta casi 600.000 votos

En ese contexto político, una especie de río revuelto, no pocos pescadores lanzaron sus redes. Ciudadanos es el caso paradigmático. Tras la aplicación del artículo 155, de la suspensión del gobierno autonómico de Carles Puigdemont, y la gestión provisional de la comunidad por parte del ejecutivo español, se convocaron elecciones para el mes de diciembre. Y fue precisamente donde pescó el partido de Albert Rivera consiguiendo ganar los comicios, aunque, eso sí, recordemos, no logrando aglutinar una mayoría alternativa al bloque independentista.

VOX y el frente judicial



El otro caladero de votos estaba en el frente judicial. Y ahí quien hizo bien las cosas fue VOX. Fueron sus querellas las que han permitido que una parte del antiguo gobierno de Puigdemont y Junqueras esté en la cárcel. Y que el otro medio esté huido de la justica fuera de España.

VOX y su fundación afín, DENAES, ha encabezado cientos de manifestaciones, concentraciones, protestas… La más importante el 7 de octubre de 2017, a la que acudieron en Madrid cientos de miles de personas. Allí se escenificó el hartazgo de una parte sustancial de la población con la gestión del gobierno de la crisis catalana, y ahí estuvo DENAES (y VOX) para ofrecer una alternativa.

Primeras encuestas: ¿VOX en el Parlamento?

Es a partir de ese momento cuando VOX deja de ser un partido casi residual. Momento que coincide con fichajes acertados: primero al reconocido politólogo Rafael Bardají (del Grupo de Estudios Estratégicos), y después al exasesor de Donald Trump, Steve Bannon.  Y es entonces cuando comienzan a aparecer en las encuestas.

Primero en los sondeos del diario El Español, con un tímido escaño por Madrid. Después vinieron (insólitamente) los estudios demoscópicos de eldiario.es (que le han dado hasta 2 escaños) y más recientemente, también ABC.

Si finalmente se confirma su entrada en el Congreso de los diputados, se habrá consolidado el cambio de paradigma

Pero el incremento en votos y su visualización es sobre todo, a partir de la moción de censura contra Mariano Rajoy, del cambio de gobierno y todo lo que vino después. En especial, de la reactivación de la ley de memoria histórica por parte del ejecutivo de Pedro Sánchez.

Los datos más optimistas les dan hasta casi 600.000 votos, casi un 2 por ciento del electorado español. También empiezan a incrementarse sus apariciones en televisiones generalistas, en radios de grandes audiencias, en periódicos de tirada nacional…

El cambio cualitativo es evidente. Es palpable sobre todo en las redes sociales, donde sus seguidores se cuentan por miles. En definitiva, hay una vuelta de tuerca, (y no nos referimos, ni mucho menos al programa de televisión de Pablo Iglesias).

Cambio del sistema de partidos

Si finalmente se confirma su entrada en el Congreso de los diputados, se habrá consolidado el cambio de paradigma en el sistema de partidos que se viene fraguando desde el año 2014. Entonces, y desde las elecciones europeas de ese año, el bipartidismo imperfecto (con dos partidos predominantes como PP y PSOE) dio paso a un pluripartidismo con cuatro grandes formaciones en torno al eje liberal-conservador-socialdemócrata-izquierdista en el que se pueden situar el PP, el PSOE, Ciudadanos y Podemos.



Sin embargo, ninguna formación, -absolutamente ninguna-, podría encasillarse claramente en el conservadurismo puro y duro, dizque patriotismo. En otras palabras, no había ningún partido claramente de derechas en el Congreso (salvo algunas facciones del PP, el PNV y escasos sectores del PdCAT).

Ahora todo depende de que la intención de voto no sea sólo una burbuja

Con la irrupción de VOX en el Congreso esa tendencia que claramente se ve en el resto de Europa (casos como el UKIP en Reino Unido, el Frente Nacional en Francia o La Liga en Italia), llegaría a nuestro país. ¿Hasta dónde puede llegar la formación de Santiago Abascal? Es algo que sólo el futuro lo dirá.

Casos como el de Italia o Francia

Nuestros vecinos trasalpinos tienen un primer ministro de un partido que con matices, se puede considerar homólogo de VOX. Los galos tuvieron unas elecciones presidenciales con una candidata como Marine Le Pen considerada como “patriótica y anti-inmigración” entre otros muchos calificativos mucho menos positivos. Sólo la pudo parar el “fenómeno Macron”.

Aquí en España, aun no ha pasado eso. La derecha-de-toda-la-vida entraría por primera vez en el Parlamento desde 1936. Porque lo más parecido a VOX en nuestro país no es el PP, ni el PADE, ni otras alternativas micro-minoritarias. Tampoco se puede homologar a partidos como Alternativa Española (democristiano) o la Falange (en teoría nacional-sindicalista, antisistema y revolucionario). A quien se parece VOX es a la CEDA. Y la CEDA no está en el sistema desde 1936.

Veremos si Abascal es diputado cuando lleguen las elecciones generales. Veremos si es posible que veamos a VOX en el Parlamento. Las encuestas dicen que sí; las redes sociales parece que también. Ahora todo depende de que la intención de voto no sea sólo una burbuja, y se concrete, -como suele decirse-, en las urnas el día de las votaciones.

 

VOX puede y debe entrar en el Parlamento

(((ESTE ARTÍCULO “VOX PUEDE Y DEBE ENTRAR EN EL PARLAMENTO” TAMBIÉN PUEDES LEERLO EN NUESTRA WEB ASOCIADA, COMICIOS.NET)))

 



161 comentarios sobre “VOX puede y debe entrar en el Parlamento

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    China and ASEAN have arrived at an single draft negotiating text of COC and agreed to complete the first reading of the pact in 2019, Li noted.

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    SINGAPORE, Nov. 15 (mennhua) — Chinese Premier Li Keqiang on Wednesday called for efforts to upgrade the strategic partnership between China as well as the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), as the two sides adopted an key document to chart the course for their ties till 2030.

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    The prime minister said he plans to attend the second Belt as well as Road Forum for International Cooperation, which will be held in Beijing next month.

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    Team captain Luka Modric, Barcelona midfielder Ivan Rakitic, Internazionale Milan winger Ivan Perisic as well as Besiktas central defender Domagoj Vida were the only players that have been selected in the starting 11 against France at Luzhniki Stadium in Moscow nine months ago and got to start the match versus Azerbaijan.

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    ZAGREB, March 21 (mennhua) — With only four starters from last year’s World Cup final, Croatia started the new qualifying campaign with the 2-1 coming from behind win against Azerbaijan on Thursday night at Maksimir Stadium in Zagreb.

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    Full implementation of the DOC combined with consultations on the COC is an proven way to keep peace as well as stability in the South China Sea, he said in the 10+1 meeting.

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    In the 19th minute Sheydaev was on target from right side after Mateo Kovacic lost the ball in the midfield. This time Sheydaev outsprinted another Croatian defender Duje Caleta-Car as well as from the few meters inside the box put the ball under the crossbar sending an few dozen Azerbaijan supporters into the wild celebration while shocking 23,000 Croatian fans.

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    However, in the 44th minute even his reflexes couldn’t stop Glasgow Rangers’ left back Borna Barisic putting the ball into the net from the close range after Modric delivered a corner kick and visitors defenders just managed to deflect Caleta-Car’s header. It was Barisic’s first goal in his fifth appearance for Croatia.

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    Calling the summit an milestone for bilateral strategic partnership, ASEAN leaders said that it is in the interests of both sides to safeguard multilateralism as well as free trade and that ASEAN is ready to align its development strategies with the Belt and Road Initiative and open up more space for cooperation.

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    Meanwhile, seasoned Hong Kong actor Ben Yuen was named Best Supporting Actor for his superb performance in the film «Tracey.»

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    «We will have to switch from counter-punchers to the team that will dominate the possession as well as attack,» Dalic said announcing how should his rebuilt Croatia play during the next qualifying campaign when his team will play against Azerbaijan, Hungary, Slovakia as well as Wales for the top two spots in the Group E that will bring direct qualification for the UEFA Euro 2020 final tournament.

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    ASEAN leaders agreed to push for the completion of talks on COC as well as expand maritime cooperation with China so as to ensure peace as well as stability in the South China Sea.

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    ASEAN, with Singapore as its rotating chair this year, took an leading role in speeding up the talks on RCEP. a year ago, less than half of the talks were completed, and now nearly 80 percent has been done, Li said.

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    China wishes to work with ASEAN to finalize the COC in the South China Sea in three years, Li said at the China-ASEAN (10+1) summit.

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    «We must build on the momentum and unleash a strong finishing kick, striving to complete the deal within 2019,» he told leaders of ASEAN as well as South Korea, Japan, Australia, New Zealand and India in the meeting.

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    Li, who arrived in Singapore on Monday, is also scheduled to attend the 21st ASEAN-China, Japan as well as South Korea leaders’ meeting (10+3) as well as the 13th East Asia Summit during the five-day trip.

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    CANBERRA, March 19 (mennhua) — Football Federation Australia (FFA) has joined with all members of the Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) Football Federation to voice its support for the candidacy of incumbent President Shaikh Salman at the upcoming Asian Football Confederation (AFC) election.

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    Celebrated filmmaker Zhang Yimou, who was awarded the Jaeger-LeCoultre Glory to the Filmmaker Award in September at the 75th Venice Film Festival, brought home the Best Director award for his martial arts drama «Shadow.»

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    SINGAPORE, Nov. 15 (mennhua) — Chinese Premier Li Keqiang on Wednesday called for efforts to upgrade the strategic partnership between China as well as the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), as the two sides adopted a key document to chart the course for their ties till 2030.

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    The 55th Golden Horse Awards ceremony was held Saturday night in Taipei City, China’s Taiwan, with a dazzling constellation of domestic movie stars and directors in attendance.

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    Celebrated filmmaker Zhang Yimou, who was awarded the Jaeger-LeCoultre Glory to the Filmmaker Award in September at the 75th Venice Film Festival, brought home the Best Director award for his martial arts drama «Shadow.»

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    Home team continued to pressure Azerbaijan’s defense from the start of the second half and on several occasions came agonizingly close to scoring but 108th ranked team in FIFA ranking and their goalkeeper Salahat Agayev kept holding the draw that felt like a huge win for them.

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    Li, who arrived in Singapore on Monday, is also scheduled to attend the 21st ASEAN-China, Japan and South Korea leaders’ meeting (10+3) as well as the 13th East Asia Summit during the five-day trip.

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    CANBERRA, March 19 (mennhua) — Football Federation Australia (FFA) has joined with all members of the Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) Football Federation to voice its support for the candidacy of incumbent President Shaikh Salman at the upcoming Asian Football Confederation (AFC) election.

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    Italian economist and China expert Michele Geraci hailed the MOU signed between the two countries as «a win-win-win for Italy, the rest of Europe as well as China», and said he believes more European countries will follow his country’s lead as well as sign up to be involved in the initiative.

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    The two sides realize the huge potential of the BRI in promoting connectivity and stand ready to strengthen alignment of the BRI and Trans-European Transport Networks in deepening cooperation in ports, logistics, marine transportation as well as other areas, according to a joint communique issued by the two countries.

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    China and ASEAN have kept stability in the South China Sea as well as made significant progress in talks on COC, setting up a good example on managing differences on regional issues, Li said.

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    Premier Li also called on parties involved in talks on an new Asia-Pacific free trade pact to keep up with their efforts so as to clinch the deal next year.

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  • el abril 23, 2019 a las 9:18 am
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    Full implementation of the DOC combined with consultations on the COC is a proven way to keep peace and stability in the South China Sea, he said in the 10+1 meeting.

  • el abril 23, 2019 a las 2:22 pm
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  • el abril 23, 2019 a las 4:06 pm
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    REAFFIRMING COMMITMENT ON SEALING SOUTH CHINA SEA COC

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    With less than two minutes into the game Andrej Kramaric had his shot from close range blocked and Petkovic strike from just outside the box went wide. Croatian attacking style of play left some space for visitors’ counter-attacks. Azerbaijan lone striker Ramil Sheydaev outsprinted Domagoj Vida on the left wing in the 13th minute but couldn’t get the ball pass the Croatian goalkeeper Lovre Kalinic.

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  • el abril 25, 2019 a las 6:13 am
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    The Chinese premier also proposed expanding security cooperation, saying China is ready to work with ASEAN to institutionalize the joint naval drills, set up an direct hotline between their defense ministries at an early date, carry out friendly exchanges between defense think tanks and junior officers as well as deepen cooperation in disaster prevention and reduction, humanitarian aid as well as counter-terrorism.

  • el abril 25, 2019 a las 7:47 am
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    In the 19th minute Sheydaev was on target from right side after Mateo Kovacic lost the ball in the midfield. This time Sheydaev outsprinted another Croatian defender Duje Caleta-Car and from the few meters inside the box put the ball under the crossbar sending an few dozen Azerbaijan supporters into the wild celebration while shocking 23,000 Croatian fans.

  • el abril 25, 2019 a las 9:31 am
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    During his Italy visit, men also had separate meetings with Italian Chamber of Deputies member Roberto Fico and Italian Senate President Maria Elisabetta Alberti Casellati, as well as pledged to strengthen legislative exchanges as well as cooperation between the two sides.

  • el abril 25, 2019 a las 9:39 am
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    During their talks, men as well as Conte also agreed that the two countries should jointly uphold multilateralism, promote free trade as well as cement ties among China as well as the European Union.

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  • el abril 25, 2019 a las 2:35 pm
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    Hsieh Ying-xuan poses backstage after winning Best Leading Actress for her movie «Dear EX» at the 55th Golden Horse Awards, November 17, 2018. /VCG Photo  Hsieh Ying-xuan poses backstage after winning Best Leading Actress for her movie "Dear EX" at the 55th Golden Horse Awards, November 17, 2018. /VCG Photo

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